After much thought.....okay, after some thought I am going to disagree with Walser's pick for which movie (I, too, refuse to use the word "film") will win Best Picture at the (always seem to be) upcoming Academy Awards. Walser's guess is that "in-the-closet" homosexuality as an issue will trump all other aggrieved groups/awarness causes to get the nod for Best Picture.
I disagree. Brokeback Mountain will not get Best Picture.
Why? Because I think Hollywood always talks a good game. And nominating something (and fawning all over it very, very, very, publicly) is just talking a good game.
That is not the same thing as actually voting for Brokeback to be Best Picture.
I am going to take the cue that enlightened Hollywood has already sent us: Two straight men were cast in the lead roles for Brokeback Mountain.
Hollywood's actual votes for Best Picture will follow that lead.